Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-08-03 · 06:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-08-03. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 4.94, Philadelphia Phillies 4.79. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 50%, Washington Nationals 50%. Projected total runs: 9.73.
Washington Nationals
4.9
Predicted runs
50% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.8
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
