Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-08-05 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-08-05. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 5.08, Philadelphia Phillies 5.04. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 49%, Washington Nationals 51%. Projected total runs: 10.13.
Washington Nationals
5.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
5.0
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.