Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-29 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-29. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 4.69, Boston Red Sox 3.45. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 38%, Washington Nationals 62%. Projected total runs: 8.14.
Washington Nationals
4.7
Predicted runs
62% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.5
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.