Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-30 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-30. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 4.34, Boston Red Sox 4.15. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 49%, Washington Nationals 51%. Projected total runs: 8.49.
Washington Nationals
4.3
Predicted runs
51% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
