Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 9:43 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox

2026-07-01 · Fenway Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-07-01. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 3.65, Boston Red Sox 4.8. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 63%, Washington Nationals 37%. Projected total runs: 8.45.

Washington Nationals
3.6
Predicted runs
37% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.8
Predicted runs
63% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.