Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-05-13 · 06:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-05-13. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 3.93, Cincinnati Reds 5.66. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 67%, Washington Nationals 33%. Projected total runs: 9.59.
Washington Nationals
3.9
Predicted runs
33% to win
Cincinnati Reds
5.7
Predicted runs
67% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
