Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-05-14 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-05-14. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 2.84, Cincinnati Reds 4.96. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 73%, Washington Nationals 27%. Projected total runs: 7.8.
Washington Nationals
2.8
Predicted runs
27% to win
Cincinnati Reds
5.0
Predicted runs
73% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.