Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 9:43 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies

2026-07-21 · Coors Field

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on 2026-07-21. Predicted final score: Washington Nationals 5.82, Colorado Rockies 5.68. Model win probability: Colorado Rockies 50%, Washington Nationals 50%. Projected total runs: 11.5.

Washington Nationals
5.8
Predicted runs
50% to win
Colorado Rockies
5.7
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 11.5 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.