Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros
2026-07-17 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-07-17. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.01, Houston Astros 3.95. Model win probability: Houston Astros 49%, Baltimore Orioles 51%. Projected total runs: 7.95.
Baltimore Orioles
4.0
Predicted runs
51% to win
Houston Astros
4.0
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.