Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros
2026-07-18 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-07-18. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.05, Houston Astros 3.81. Model win probability: Houston Astros 48%, Baltimore Orioles 52%. Projected total runs: 7.86.
Baltimore Orioles
4.0
Predicted runs
52% to win
Houston Astros
3.8
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.