Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-08-25 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-08-25. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.51, St. Louis Cardinals 4.85. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 55%, Baltimore Orioles 45%. Projected total runs: 9.36.
Baltimore Orioles
4.5
Predicted runs
45% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.8
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.