Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-05 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-05. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.5, Miami Marlins 4.58. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 51%, Baltimore Orioles 49%. Projected total runs: 9.08.
Baltimore Orioles
4.5
Predicted runs
49% to win
Miami Marlins
4.6
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.