Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-06 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-06. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 5, Miami Marlins 4.46. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 46%, Baltimore Orioles 54%. Projected total runs: 9.46.
Baltimore Orioles
5.0
Predicted runs
54% to win
Miami Marlins
4.5
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
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