Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-07 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-07. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 3.79, Miami Marlins 4.07. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 55%, Baltimore Orioles 45%. Projected total runs: 7.86.
Baltimore Orioles
3.8
Predicted runs
45% to win
Miami Marlins
4.1
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
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