Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals
2026-05-17 · 01:35 PM ET · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-05-17. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.87, Washington Nationals 5.87. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 59%, Baltimore Orioles 41%. Projected total runs: 10.74.
Baltimore Orioles
4.9
Predicted runs
41% to win
Washington Nationals
5.9
Predicted runs
59% to win
Projected total: 10.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.