Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-08-14 · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-08-14. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.69, Tampa Bay Rays 4.09. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 43%, Baltimore Orioles 57%. Projected total runs: 8.77.
Baltimore Orioles
4.7
Predicted runs
57% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
4.1
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.