Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 11:58 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

2026-06-04

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox on 2026-06-04. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 6.81, Boston Red Sox 6.56. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 50%, Baltimore Orioles 50%. Projected total runs: 13.37.

Baltimore Orioles
6.8
Predicted runs
50% to win
Boston Red Sox
6.6
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 13.4 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.