Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-04 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-04. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 6.81, Boston Red Sox 6.56. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 50%, Baltimore Orioles 50%. Projected total runs: 13.37.
Baltimore Orioles
6.8
Predicted runs
50% to win
Boston Red Sox
6.6
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 13.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.