Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox
2026-07-20 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-07-20. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 3.96, Boston Red Sox 4.2. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 54%, Baltimore Orioles 46%. Projected total runs: 8.15.
Baltimore Orioles
4.0
Predicted runs
46% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.2
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 8.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.