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Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

2026-07-22 · 1:35 PM ET

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 3.96, Boston Red Sox 4.05. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 52%, Baltimore Orioles 48%. Projected total runs: 8.01.

Baltimore Orioles

4.0

Predicted runs

48% to win

Boston Red Sox

4.0

Predicted runs

52% to win

Projected total: 8.0 runs

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