Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox (Game 2)
2026-07-22 · 7:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (Game 2) at Fenway Park on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.68, Boston Red Sox 4.47. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 50%, Baltimore Orioles 50%. Projected total runs: 9.15.
Baltimore Orioles
4.7
Predicted runs
50% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.5
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.