Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals
2026-04-20 · 07:40 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-04-20. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.39, Kansas City Royals 5.26. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 60%, Baltimore Orioles 40%. Projected total runs: 9.65.
Baltimore Orioles
4.4
Predicted runs
40% to win
Kansas City Royals
5.3
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.