Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals
2026-04-22 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-04-22. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 5.74, Kansas City Royals 7.26. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 64%, Baltimore Orioles 36%. Projected total runs: 13.01.
Baltimore Orioles
5.7
Predicted runs
36% to win
Kansas City Royals
7.3
Predicted runs
64% to win
Projected total: 13.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.