Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
2026-05-01 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-01. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.38, New York Yankees 5.61. Model win probability: New York Yankees 62%, Baltimore Orioles 38%. Projected total runs: 10.
Baltimore Orioles
4.4
Predicted runs
38% to win
New York Yankees
5.6
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.