Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
2026-05-02 · 01:35 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-02. Predicted final score: Baltimore Orioles 4.17, New York Yankees 5.18. Model win probability: New York Yankees 61%, Baltimore Orioles 39%. Projected total runs: 9.35.
Baltimore Orioles
4.2
Predicted runs
39% to win
New York Yankees
5.2
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.