Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-05-12 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 2.89, Milwaukee Brewers 3.57. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 60%, San Diego Padres 40%. Projected total runs: 6.46.
San Diego Padres
2.9
Predicted runs
40% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
3.6
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 6.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.