Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-05-14 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-05-14. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 2.6, Milwaukee Brewers 3.63. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 62%, San Diego Padres 38%. Projected total runs: 6.23.
San Diego Padres
2.6
Predicted runs
38% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
3.6
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 6.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.