Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-06-15 · 07:45 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-06-15. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.99, St. Louis Cardinals 6.3. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 62%, San Diego Padres 38%. Projected total runs: 11.3.
San Diego Padres
5.0
Predicted runs
38% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
6.3
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 11.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.