Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-06-17 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-06-17. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 5.03, St. Louis Cardinals 4.74. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 49%, San Diego Padres 51%. Projected total runs: 9.77.
San Diego Padres
5.0
Predicted runs
51% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.7
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 9.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.