Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs
2026-06-29 · 08:05 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-06-29. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 3.81, Chicago Cubs 4.16. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 55%, San Diego Padres 45%. Projected total runs: 7.97.
San Diego Padres
3.8
Predicted runs
45% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.2
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.