Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs
2026-06-30 · 08:05 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-06-30. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.14, Chicago Cubs 3.45. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 42%, San Diego Padres 58%. Projected total runs: 7.59.
San Diego Padres
4.1
Predicted runs
58% to win
Chicago Cubs
3.5
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.