Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs
2026-07-01 · 02:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-07-01. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 3.9, Chicago Cubs 3.98. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 52%, San Diego Padres 48%. Projected total runs: 7.88.
San Diego Padres
3.9
Predicted runs
48% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.0
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.