Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-04-25 · 06:05 PM ET · Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu on 2026-04-25. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.23, Arizona Diamondbacks 4.08. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 49%, San Diego Padres 51%. Projected total runs: 8.31.
San Diego Padres
4.2
Predicted runs
51% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
4.1
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.