Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-04-26 · Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu on 2026-04-26. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.86, Arizona Diamondbacks 5.1. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 52%, San Diego Padres 48%. Projected total runs: 9.96.
San Diego Padres
4.9
Predicted runs
48% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.1
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.