Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
2026-07-04 · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on 2026-07-04. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 3.81, Los Angeles Dodgers 4.76. Model win probability: Los Angeles Dodgers 60%, San Diego Padres 40%. Projected total runs: 8.57.
San Diego Padres
3.8
Predicted runs
40% to win
Los Angeles Dodgers
4.8
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
