Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
2026-07-05 · 07:20 PM ET · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on 2026-07-05. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 3.88, Los Angeles Dodgers 4.54. Model win probability: Los Angeles Dodgers 57%, San Diego Padres 43%. Projected total runs: 8.41.
San Diego Padres
3.9
Predicted runs
43% to win
Los Angeles Dodgers
4.5
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
