Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants
2026-05-06 · 03:45 PM ET · Oracle Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on 2026-05-06. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 6.06, San Francisco Giants 4.45. Model win probability: San Francisco Giants 36%, San Diego Padres 64%. Projected total runs: 10.51.
San Diego Padres
6.1
Predicted runs
64% to win
San Francisco Giants
4.5
Predicted runs
36% to win
Projected total: 10.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.