Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners
2026-05-15 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-05-15. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 2.54, Seattle Mariners 3.29. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 60%, San Diego Padres 40%. Projected total runs: 5.84.
San Diego Padres
2.5
Predicted runs
40% to win
Seattle Mariners
3.3
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 5.8 runs
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