Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners
2026-05-16 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-05-16. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 3.12, Seattle Mariners 3.5. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 54%, San Diego Padres 46%. Projected total runs: 6.62.
San Diego Padres
3.1
Predicted runs
46% to win
Seattle Mariners
3.5
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 6.6 runs
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