Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners
2026-05-17 · 07:20 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-05-17. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 2.65, Seattle Mariners 2.73. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 52%, San Diego Padres 48%. Projected total runs: 5.39.
San Diego Padres
2.6
Predicted runs
48% to win
Seattle Mariners
2.7
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 5.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.