Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins
2026-07-24 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-07-24. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.42, Miami Marlins 4.71. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 54%, San Diego Padres 46%. Projected total runs: 9.13. Final score: San Diego Padres 4, Miami Marlins 2.
San Diego Padres
4
Final
Predicted 4.4
46% to win
Miami Marlins
2
Final
Predicted 4.7
54% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.