Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins
2026-07-25 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-07-25. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.4, Miami Marlins 4.42. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 51%, San Diego Padres 49%. Projected total runs: 8.82.
San Diego Padres
4.4
Predicted runs
49% to win
Miami Marlins
4.4
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
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