Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins
2026-07-26 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-07-26. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.57, Miami Marlins 4.35. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 49%, San Diego Padres 51%. Projected total runs: 8.92.
San Diego Padres
4.6
Predicted runs
51% to win
Miami Marlins
4.3
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.