Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ New York Mets
2026-08-17 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-08-17. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.72, New York Mets 4.84. Model win probability: New York Mets 52%, San Diego Padres 48%. Projected total runs: 9.56.
San Diego Padres
4.7
Predicted runs
48% to win
New York Mets
4.8
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
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