Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-08-18. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.55, New York Mets 4.42. Model win probability: New York Mets 50%, San Diego Padres 50%. Projected total runs: 8.97.

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