Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals
2026-05-29 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-05-29. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.51, Washington Nationals 6.31. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 66%, San Diego Padres 34%. Projected total runs: 10.81.
San Diego Padres
4.5
Predicted runs
34% to win
Washington Nationals
6.3
Predicted runs
66% to win
Projected total: 10.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
