Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals
2026-05-30 · 04:05 PM ET · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-05-30. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 5.13, Washington Nationals 4.63. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 46%, San Diego Padres 54%. Projected total runs: 9.76.
San Diego Padres
5.1
Predicted runs
54% to win
Washington Nationals
4.6
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 9.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.