Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals
2026-05-31 · 01:35 PM ET · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-05-31. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.77, Washington Nationals 5.68. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 60%, San Diego Padres 40%. Projected total runs: 10.44.
San Diego Padres
4.8
Predicted runs
40% to win
Washington Nationals
5.7
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.