Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-06-12 · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-06-12. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 3.56, Baltimore Orioles 5.16. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 66%, San Diego Padres 34%. Projected total runs: 8.72.
San Diego Padres
3.6
Predicted runs
34% to win
Baltimore Orioles
5.2
Predicted runs
66% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.