Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-06-13 · 04:05 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-06-13. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 3.94, Baltimore Orioles 5.01. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 62%, San Diego Padres 38%. Projected total runs: 8.95.
San Diego Padres
3.9
Predicted runs
38% to win
Baltimore Orioles
5.0
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.