Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Baltimore Orioles
2026-06-14 · 01:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on 2026-06-14. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 5.57, Baltimore Orioles 5.22. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 49%, San Diego Padres 51%. Projected total runs: 10.79.
San Diego Padres
5.6
Predicted runs
51% to win
Baltimore Orioles
5.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 10.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.